J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. (JBHT) $267.25
J.B. Hunt stands at a critical juncture, with technical indicators flashing extreme oversold signals while the broader consensus target fails to justify an immediate entry.
52-wk High $299.76
📌 Investment Snapshot
- Price: $267.25 (80.8% of 52-week range)
- Q2 Revenue: $3.50B | EPS: $1.92
- Catalyst: Extreme RSI oversold condition at 25.7
- Consensus Target: $305.45 (+14.3% upside)
⏳ WAIT
The stock tests critical support levels, yet insufficient upside potential prevents a buy rating. We remain on the sidelines until the chart confirms a structural reversal.
| 📍 Entry Zone | $260.24 or below | 🛑 Stop-Loss | $239.00 |
| 📋 Adjust If | The stock reclaims the $282 level with high volume. | ||
The Investment Case — Why Now?
J.B. Hunt navigates a complex freight environment, balancing operational efficiency against cooling demand. While recent earnings demonstrate resilience, the market demands a higher margin of safety before committing capital at these valuations.
The primary risk centers on freight volume compression, which threatens to erode profitability in the coming quarters. Investors should monitor the October earnings report closely for guidance updates.
🏢 Company Overview
| Detail | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics |
Open chart on TradingView →
📈 Price Action & Technicals
Dead Cross
Inside VA
Buy-side Sweep at $272.3 on 2026-08-03
The stock currently tests the $260.24-$266.96 bullish Fair Value Gap, a zone that historically invites institutional buying. Price action remains weak, however, as the stock trades well below the 50-day SMA of $280.23.
An RSI of 25.7 screams oversold, yet the MACD confirms bearish momentum with a dead cross. The ADX at 26.5 indicates a strengthening trend, unfortunately favoring the downside.
Volume profile analysis places the Point of Control at $205.68, suggesting significant support exists well below current levels. The Anchored VWAP at $212.5 further underscores the distance from long-term institutional cost bases.
Liquidity sweeps at $272.30 reveal active defense, but the lack of follow-through volume undermines the bullish case. We require a decisive reclaim of the $282 level to invalidate the current bearish structure.
Historical patterns suggest that stocks with this degree of oversold status often experience violent mean reversion, but catching a falling knife carries unnecessary risk without a confirmed trend change.
🤔 Will the $260-$266 FVG zone hold as a bottom, or does the lack of volume confirm a deeper slide?
⚖ Peer P/E Comparison
| Ticker | Company | P/E (TTM) |
|---|---|---|
| JBHT | J.B. Hunt | 38.8x |
| SPY | S&P 500 | 24.5x |
| CHRW | C.H. Robinson | 22.1x |
| ODFL | Old Dominion | 31.2x |
💰 Earnings Deep Dive
| Period | Revenue | EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.50B | $1.92 | +12.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.06B | $1.50 | +0.0% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.10B | $1.91 | +1.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.05B | $1.79 | -5.8% |
Free cash flow remains stable at $0.3B for the latest quarter, supporting ongoing buyback programs.
Revenue growth shows signs of acceleration, yet EPS volatility remains a concern for valuation-sensitive investors.
🚀 Growth Drivers — What Moves the Stock
- Intermodal Expansion 🟢 Upside Surprise — Strategic investments in rail capacity drive long-term efficiency gains.
- Dedicated Contract Services 🟡 Priced In — Stable, recurring revenue streams provide a buffer against spot market volatility.
🏦 Smart Money & Institutional Positioning
13F Holdings
| Institution | Shares (K) |
|---|---|
| Blackrock Inc. | 6,054 |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 4,889 |
Holdings reflect most recent 13F (45-day lag).
Insider Transactions
| Name | Title | Date | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GARRISON EARL WAYNE | Officer | 2026-06-02 | Sale | 76744 |
Short Interest
| Short % Float | Days to Cover |
|---|---|
| 3.3% | 2.0 |
⚠ Key Risk Factors
~$1.5B impact
~$0.5B impact
~$0.8B impact
🤔 Which of these risks poses the greatest threat to J.B. Hunt’s margin expansion in the coming quarter?
🎯 Guidance & Wall Street View
| High Target | Mean Target | Low Target | Analysts | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $370.00 | $305.45 | $182.00 | 22 | Hold |
| Firm | Rating | Target | Date | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Overweight | $320.00 | 2026-07-16 | Maintained |
| Citigroup | Neutral | $290.00 | 2026-07-16 | Maintained |
Analysts remain divided, with a wide spread between high and low targets reflecting uncertainty in the freight cycle.
Open chart on TradingView →
📊 Bull vs Bear — Probability-Weighted Scenarios
🐂 Bull Case
- Strong market position in intermodal logistics.
- Oversold technicals suggest a potential bounce.
📊 Base Case
The stock consolidates within a range as the freight market stabilizes.
🐻 Bear Case
- Margin compression from rising operational costs.
- Technical breakdown below $260 support.
🎯 Investor Action Plan — By Profile
Wait for a confirmed reclaim of $282 before initiating long positions.
Avoid new exposure until the stock establishes a higher low.
Accumulate only on a sustained break below $240.
If you’re interested in the Industrials sector, also read:
❓ Investor FAQ — People Also Ask
Q: Is JBHT a buy at $267?
No, the current upside potential does not meet our threshold for a buy rating despite the oversold technicals.
Q: What is the next major support level?
The $260-$266 FVG zone serves as the immediate support floor.
Q: When is the next earnings report?
J.B. Hunt reports earnings on October 15, 2026.
📖 New to these terms? P/E Ratio · Free Cash Flow · Insider Signals · Stop-Loss · RSI
📊 Want to check the current price action yourself?
📋 Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence before investing.
All active positions and their real-time performance are tracked on our Investment Log.
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